In his epic movie CASTAWAY Tom Hanks, who is one of my favorite actors is stranded in a remote island as the small plane he was travelling in crashes somewhere in the middle of the endless Pacific.
As he settles settled down in that island, manages to light fire and survive on Coconuts and Sea food, he makes friendship with a Volleyball he names as "Wilson". He keeps his sanity in company of Wilson with whom he spends time in unilateral chatting.
Tom Hanks tries to figure out his approximate position inside the vast Pacific Ocean. He flew around 10 hours west of Memphis before his plane went down after getting caught in a severe thunderstorm. Positioning himself in the island, he was trying to estimate the search area in case someone trying to find him.
Assuming the search takes place in a circular area of 500 mile radius, it would be = Pi × r^2 = 3.14 ×500×500 = 785,000 square miles. That's more than twice the size of Texas. Tom Hanks tells Wilson - "They may never find us again".
Similarly they're saying that 40% - 70% of the American population may get infected with Coronavirus. US population is 330 million, so taking the lower end of 40%, 150 million Americans may get the virus. Even if 1% of that number die, it will be 1.5 million which a gargantuan number.
Ironically Tom Hanks is one of 41,000 Americans who has tested positive for Coronavirus. In this movie "Castaway" he is luckily discovered by a shipping liner as he makes a last ditch effort to get away from the island on a makeshift flotilla. This is a movie and in celluloid world magic happens. But not so in the real world. I am sure it will get better, not before getting worse.
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