Tuesday, December 11, 2018

Assembly Elections results 2018

Not to be left behind with analysis of the outcome of the just concluded Assembly elections in India - here is mine, the 3,458,903th one on the social media.

Election results clearly portrays BJP as the loser and Congress an winner, but an Abysmal one - unable to capitalize much on the anti incumbency factor. Congress is going to have a much tougher opposition now.

Now BJP needs to take a crash course from Naveen Patnaik, the Chief Minister of Odisha and BJD Supremo. A smart guy, he has clearly figured it out that Politics is a matter of perception. True or perceived, the people whose vote matters in the state of Odisha believe that their Chief Minister is doing a commendable job - with virtually no visible anti incumbency. People who are critical of him hardly vote, explained by the fact that in the last Election the polling in Bhubaneswar was 29% vis a vis 70% in the rest of the state. Ican bet he is assured of a record 5th term, probably equallying Jyoti Basu's record in Bengal.

Hope the Congress government performs well in the states it just won. Otherwise, it won't take BJP, a cadre based party very long to bounce back to power. But whether the new CMs, shadowed by their High Command (an euphemism for the Gandhi family) will have a free hand in governing is yet to be seen.

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